2047: INTO FOCUS AT LAST

  Posted:  Aug. 13, 2015   Throughout the long tedious arguments that continued for the past two years …   about universal suffrage elections for the Chief Executive in 2017, for the Legislative Council in 2020, and the preliminaries in 2016  … no one wanted...

OFF TO A BAD START

  Posted:  July 30, 2015   Hong Kong’s much maligned Chief Executive, Leung Chun-ying, made an announcement last week that might have passed as no more than a mid-term cabinet reshuffle ahead of the summer recess.   Secretary for Home Affairs Tsang Tak-sing...

IS 8.31 REALLY WRITTEN IN STONE?

  Posted:  July 21, 2015   Yes and no.  Yes, because Beijing said repeatedly that its August 31, 2014 decision on Hong Kong’s current political reform cycle could not be changed in any way, shape, or form, and it wasn’t.  Beijing never budged despite...

AFTER THE VETO … A Moderate Backlash

  Posted:  July 8, 2015   So pan-democrats’ vow to veto Beijing’s electoral reform design actually held.  Many bets to the contrary were lost and probably Beijing miscalculated as well.  Almost to the very end, conventional wisdom and past experience...

REFORM BILL VETOED: Defeat for 8.31

  Posted:  June 18, 2015   Everyone was waiting for a last-minute climb-down, but in the end no one lost their nerve.  Beijing refused to budge on its restrictive August 31, 2014 (8.31) electoral reform design.   It spelled out the way Hong Kong’s first...

JUNE FOURTH, JULY FIRST, AND OCCUPY

  Posted:  June 5, 2015   When they began, the three biggest events in Hong Kong’s democracy movement had little to do with each other.  Now … for better and possibly for worse … the law of unintended consequences is bringing them together in one common...